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*The main point behind the betting staking plan is to make your bet sizing as uniform as possible. This is to make sure you make the most of bets that are extremely good value every time.
*The Martingale staking plan is designed with even money bets in mind. These could be bets such as a heads or tails coin toss, or red/black or even/odd in Roulette. The strategy instructs a gambler to.
*Best Betting Staking Plan
*Football Betting Staking Plants
*Football Betting Staking PlantsMaria Staking Plan By The Numbers + Maria Staking Plan Spreadsheet | Football AdvisorThe Maria Staking Plan By The Numbers
In our previous post, we took an in-depth look at the origins and story behind “Maria Staking Plan”. If you missed it, you can read it here.
Today we are going to go a little deeper into the numbers and mathematics behind this approach. While at the end of today’s article you’ll be able to download a free copy of our Maria Staking Plan Spreadsheet for you to use.
Over the next few days we are going to unpick what is known about the Maria Staking Plan, separating the fact from the fiction, where best we can.
We are also going to take on the challenge of attempting to apply (successfully) the Maria Staking Plan to the football betting world – and if you stay with us over the next few days, you’ll also have the opportunity to join us on the journey.By The Numbers – The Maria Staking Plan
There are two varieties of this staking plan: (1) The simple version: Level Stake This means risking the same amount of money with each and every bet. This applies to. (2) The advanced version: Fixed. Simply put, a staking plan is a method that helps you determine how much money you should risk on a wager. As opposed to you just guessing that you’ll bet $20 on the Jets game this Sunday, a staking.
As we discovered last time, it was designed to enable her betting profits to be compounded, thus growing the bank in a quicker, more accelerated way.
Prices below 3.5: lay to 1% of bank – backer’s stake £30 (max liability under £75)
Prices from 3.6 to 7.4: lay to 0.6% of bank – backer’s stake £18 (max liability £46.80 – £115.20)
Prices from 7.5 to 11: lay to 0.4% of bank – backer’s stake £12 (max liability £78 – £132)Maria Staking Plan Rules
Rule 1 – Adjust Your Stake Based On The Odds
If Bet 1 the odds are 8. The Stake is 0.4% of £3000 which is £12.If Bet 1 the odds are 4. The Stake is 0.6% of £3000 which is £18.If Bet 1 the odds are 2.5. The Stake is 1% of £3000 which is £30.If Bet 1 the odds are 12. The Stake is 0% of £3000 which is £0.
Rule 2 – If making profits, the stakes are increased on a daily basis in proportion to the betting bank on a daily basis
For instance, if after day 1 the betting bank is at £3300 then 1% would now be £33 rather than £30
Rule 3 – If after a days betting the cumulative betting bank has decreased the stakes are left alone unless 35% of the highest level of the bank is lost.
If this occurs then the stakes are re-calculated based on the new “65%-sized bank” For example if your using £3000 as your starting betting bank, you would keep the same stakes used until your betting bank went below £1,950 when those backer’s stakes would become £19.50, £11.70 and £7.80 until the bank gets back up to £3,000 again (or – even down to £1267.50 – a further 35% loss). The 35% drop is always worked out from the highest point of the bank.Maria Staking Plan – Original Thread
Sadly the Expert Betting Forum is no longer in existence. However, those great people at Wayback Machine, have managed to capture the original thread for posterity.
If you are interested in revisiting 2005 and see how it all unfolded first timeout, you can access the Maria Staking Plan Original Thread here.Maria Staking Plan – Is It Possible
If you are considering taking up the Maria Staking Plan challenge then there are a few factors to consider before commencing.
(1). Do you have an Edge?
There is no point in just randomly picking selections and applying the staking plan. Unless you have a clear method and a belief that you have a real edge then this will not work for you and you will lose money.
As we’ve mentioned previously, this is not a solution to making money. A staking plan is only as good as the selections being applied to it. It won’t make a losing model profitable.
(2) Strike Rates
With a model such as this the ability to achieve consistent and high strike rates is paramount. Maria achieved an 85% strike rate and you would need to be able to do something similar.
By our estimates, you would need at least an 80% strike rate and more likely somewhere in the region of 83-85%+.
If Maria’s strike rate had dropped to even just 75% she would have lost plenty and wiped out her bank pretty quickly.
(3) Don’t be greedy
We all see the big 100k figure and dream of achieving that. But unless you have plenty of money to spare, putting £3,000 is not wise. It is a high risk, high reward approach.
A much smarter approach would be to use a more affordable figure, such as £300 (affordable may mean something different to you, so please adjust to suit your own financial circumstances), and targeting £10,000 initially.
If successful, you could bank some profit and THEN set aside the £3,000 bank. In fact, you don’t even need to target the £10,000. You could collect and start again at much lower benchmarks.
But the most important part is that you start with a bank you are expecting and able to lose, even if that is just £50.00.
(4) Stick To The Rules
Naturally, you need to stick to the rules as proposed unless you have your own take on the approach, but even then, stick to your original rules all the way through.
(5) Have fun
Something like the Maria Staking Plan is as much about the fun of the challenge. Great if you do succeed or even come close to succeeding. But I feel you start something like this with the expectation to lose – and you should set your betting bank as such.
Remember, many have tried and many have failed in trying to replicate what Maria did.
It’s not to say it is impossible. We do believe it is possible with an edge and a little luck on variance. You just need to keep all these factors in mind before beginning.Can The Maria Staking Plan Be Automated?
I’m pleased to say that at YES, the staking plan can be automated. Here at Football Advisor, we use BF Bot Manager for most of our betting and BF Bot Manager comes with Maria Staking Plan built in by default.
And here is an sample of one of the tests I’ve completed using this Maria Staking Plan setting in BF Bot Manager:Maria Staking Plan Spreadsheet
If you are not currently a BF Bot Manager user and simply prefer to place you bets manually, you may be looking for a spreadsheet to help you keep accurate records if you ever decide to put the Maria Staking Plan to the test.
If so, I’m pleased to saw that Football Advisor team have you got you covered and you can download the Maria Staking Plan spreadsheet here. It is completely free but remember it is solely for your own personal use.
DOWNLOAD: MARIA STAKING PLAN SPREADSHEET
What’s Next?
In our next, and final, look at the Maria Staking Plan we’re going to break down for you a football lay betting strategy that we feel has the right criteria to stand a decent chance of being able to achieve something similar to Maria.
More on this in a few days but in the meantime, don’t forget to download your free copy of the Maria Staking Plan Spreadsheet
Related posts:
Jon is the Founder and Chief Tipster at Football Advisor and Predictoloy. He started life as data analyst in the digital marketing field before find his true calling in the world of Football and Horse Racing Betting.
Jon has been sharing his professional expertise since 2009 and specialises in using objective data analysis and subjective experience of betting built up over more than a decade of professional betting.
In 2014, Jon also launched (and continues to run) the trusted Football Advisor service service which provides a variety of football and horse racing betting models and portfolios. A few years later, Jon launched the Predictology platform which is the worlds first betting system builder and analyser covering a wealth of football betting related statistics covering more than 200,000 matches.
Jon has also lent his knowledge and expertise to several of the trusted Premium Services offered by the respected Secret Betting Club, including Football Lay Profits. Racing Bet Profits and, most recently, Racing Lay Profits.
Staking plans are an important part of sports betting. If you’ve ended up onthis page, then the odds are that you’re looking for information and insights onthem. Luckily, you’ve come to the right place. In our in-depth coverage ofstaking plans, we’ll educate you about what they are and why you should considerusing one, and we’ll also cover the different types of these plans.The BasicsFixed Staking PlansVariable Staking PlansThe Right PlanFAQsSummaryUnderstanding the Basics
If you don’t know what a staking plan is, let’s start there. Simply put, astaking plan is a method that helps you determine how much money you should riskon a wager. As opposed to you just guessing that you’ll bet $20 on the Jets gamethis Sunday, a staking plan will apply some logic to how much you’ll wager.
With a staking plan, you’ll use more than just your gut instincts. Dependingon the plan, you might also take into consideration your recent track record,the odds of you winning and the size of your bankroll. As you’ll see below,things vary a bit from plan to plan.
Next, you might be asking yourself why you should consider using a stakingplan. First and foremost, the best reason to use a plan is that it gives you agood method for helping with bankroll management. For many bettors, bankrollmanagement is one of the largest struggles. Without a plan, it is very easy tosquander your bankroll.
Another great reason to use a staking plan is that it can be used as a wayfor you to help manage risk. By using one of these plans, you can develop a riskversus reward tradeoff that fits your needs. Staking plans offer a great varietyof options when it comes to risk. Those that prefer a higher risk and reward canchoose that as opposed to selecting a plan with a lower risk and rewardtradeoff.
When it comes to staking plans, there are two main buckets that they fallinto. Those buckets are fixed plans and variable plans. In the next couple ofsections, we’ll cover each of these types in greater detail. We’ll also provideyou some samples along the way to help you get a better feel for how these planswork.Fixed Staking Plans
Up first, we’ll talk about fixed staking plans. For these types of plans, theamount that you wager or the percentage of your bankroll that you wager will befixed. Unlike the variable staking plans that we’ll discuss later on, these donot move. Below, we’ll go into detail on some of the most popular fixed stakingplans out there so that you can learn more about them.Fixed Wager Staking
In a fixed wager staking plan, you’ll bet the same amount on every sports betthat you place. It doesn’t matter what sport it is, what the odds are oranything else. You’ll always wager the same amount every time. Another name forfixed wager staking is level staking. The level in the name comes from the factthat the amount you bet each time is level or flat.
If you’re going to use a fixed wager staking plan, you’ll need to determinehow much your fixed wager should be. The general school of thought is that youshould typically keep any wager at 5% or less of your bankroll. For example, ifyou had a bankroll of $100, you’d want to risk no more than $5 for each wager.
The idea behind keeping your wager to 5% or less of your bankroll is that itlowers the risk of you quickly eating up your entire bankroll. Imagine if yourisked 50% of your bankroll on every bet. After just two losses, you’d be out ofyour betting bankroll. By only risking 5% at a time, you’ll be able to extendyour bankroll through ups and downs. One drawback to limiting it to just 5% orless is that when you do win, you’ll collect smaller returns. The idea here isthat you grow things over time, bit by bit. Remember that Rome wasn’t built in aday and neither should your betting bankroll.
Ultimately, it’s up to you to decide how much you want to risk. What’simportant is that once you pick an amount, you’ll need to stick to it under afixed wager staking plan.Bankroll Percentage Staking
A different type of fixed staking plans is the percentage staking plan. Forthis type of staking plan, you’ll bet a fixed percentage of your total bankrollon each wager. While the percentage is fixed, how much you actually wager willfluctuate depending on the value of your bankroll.
If you’re going to adopt a bankroll percentage staking plan, you’ll need todetermine what your fixed percentage will be. Most often, people will wager 1-2%on each wager. Ultimately, it’s up to you to determine what is best for you. Theidea of keeping the percentage low is the same as it was for the fixed wagerstaking above.
To help illustrate how a bankroll percentage staking plan works, we’ve workedup a sample graphic below. In this sample, assume that you have a $500 bankrolland that you’ve decided on 2% as your fixed percentage to wager. As you’ll seein the graphic, the amount that you wager each time will vary as your bankrollchanges.
What’s nice about this plan is that it allows you to adjust your wagers basedon how your success is or isn’t. In the case where you’re winning more oftenthan not, your bankroll will grow and your amount wagered will also grow. Bywagering more, you’ll be set to win more if you pick correctly, which will alsoaid in you building your bankroll.
On the converse, if you hit a losing streak, you’ll risk less money eachtime. By doing this, it will aid you in preserving your bankroll for a longerperiod of time. This is a nice advantage of this plan compared to a fixed wagerstaking plan since you’ll adjust your wager depending on how your success isgoing.Bet It All Every Time Staking
Another form of a fixed staking plan is the bet it all every time approach.Under this plan, you’d wager your entire bankroll for every bet. For example, ifyour betting bankroll were $100, you’d wager $100 on every wager.
What’s great about the bet it all every time set up is that it can allow youto see some mega returns if your bets are correct. By going about it this way,you can quickly double your cash. On the flip side, you can also lose everythingin just one failed bet. Once you’ve lost, you’re out of bankroll, and therefore,done betting for the time being.
Because of the all or nothing nature of the bet it all every time approach,it is extremely risky. Before using the bet it all every time approach tostaking, make sure that you’re fully aware that you could lose your entirebankroll in one loss.Variable Staking Plans
The other major type of staking plans are variable staking plans. For theseplans, the amount that you wager will vary every time. Below, we’ll go intodetail on some of the most popular variable staking plans out there.Martingale System
Perhaps the most popular of all variable staking plans is the MartingaleSystem. This is a negative progression system meaning that you’ll decrease yourbets when you win, and you’ll increase your bets when you lose.
If you’d like to use the Martingale System as your staking plan, the firstthing that you’ll need to do is determine your base betting unit. This amount isyour starting wager. It is important to remember that things will go up fromhere. Therefore, you’ll want your base unit to be something pretty low in termsof your overall bankroll. Ideally, we’d suggest that your base unit is somethingaround 1 or 2% of your overall bankroll.
The core idea behind the Martingale System is that you’ll double your betafter each loss. After a win, you’ll return back to your base wager. The reasonthat the system has you double your bet after a loss it that it is working tohelp you recoup from your losses.
In order to help you visualize the Martingale System, consider the followingexample. Let’s say that you’ve set yourself a base betting unit of $5. For yourfirst sports bet, you’d simply wager your base unit of $5. If you pick correctlyand you win that first bet, then you’d bet $5 again on your next wager. Let’sthen assume that you pick incorrectly and lose on your next wager. In thatscenario, you would then double your bet and bet $10 on the following bet. Youwould continue to double your bet until you finally won. At that point, you’dreturn back to your original $5 wager.
One of the main issues with the Martingale System is that it can getexpensive very quickly. Due to this, it can limit folks from being able to usethe system fully. With this system, things start to add up if you go onrepetitive losses. In some cases, the suggested double bet amount will outgrowyour potential bankroll, which leaves you tapped out from using the system.
Consider an example again where your base betting unit was $5. If you went ona losing streak of nine losses in a row, your 10th wager would be a staggering$2,560! Check out the chart below to see how this sample plays out.BetWagerOutcomeYour Action#1$5LossDouble Bet#2$10LossDouble Bet#3$20LossDouble Bet#4$40LossDouble Bet#5$80LossDouble Bet#6$160LossDouble Bet#7$320LossDouble Bet#8$640LossDouble Bet#9$1,280LossDouble Bet#10$2,560NANA
As you can see from the sample chart above, things escalate quickly. Becauseof this, many folks simply can’t hang with the Martingale System for long whenthey go on a long streak of losses. You’ll want to keep this in mind beforeconsidering using this system as your staking plan. If you don’t have thebankroll to go deep into the system, you might not be able to use it to recoupyour losses.
Another potential limiting factor of the Martingale System is your bettinglimit. Your local or online sportsbook might have you capped when it comes tohow much you can place on an individual wager. In the beginning stages of thesystem, this shouldn’t be an issue. However, if you go on a run of losses andyou bump up against some form of betting limit from your bookie, your hands arethen tied.
For the Martingale System to work perfectly, you would need to have both anunlimited bankroll and unlimited betting limits. In reality, neither of theseare easy to have individually, let alone at the same time. For these reasons,this system has some flaws.Fibonacci Sequence
One other variable staking plan option is the Fibonacci Sequence. This systemis a bit more complicated than the Martingale System, but it is still prettyeasy to learn. Don’t worry; we’ll help get you up to speed on it!
Developed by an Italian mathematician named Leonardo Pisano in the 13thcentury, the Fibonacci Sequence is based on a sequence of numbers. This sequencehas many applications, and it is often used in casino and sports betting. Below,we’ll go into more detail on how you ca

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